/*
* QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals.
* Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation.
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*/
using MathNet.Numerics.Statistics;
using MathNet.Numerics.Distributions;
using System;
namespace QuantConnect.Indicators
{
///
/// This indicator computes 1-day VaR for a specified confidence level and lookback period
///
public class ValueAtRisk : WindowIndicator, IIndicatorWarmUpPeriodProvider
{
///
/// Confidence level for VaR calculation
///
private readonly double _confidenceLevel;
///
/// RateOfChange indicator to calculate the returns
///
private readonly RateOfChange _rateOfChange;
///
/// Rolling window to store the returns of the input data
///
private readonly RollingWindow _returns;
///
/// Required period, in data points, for the indicator to be ready and fully initialized.
///
public override int WarmUpPeriod { get; }
///
/// Gets a flag indicating when the indicator is ready and fully initialized
///
public override bool IsReady => Samples >= WarmUpPeriod;
///
/// Creates a new ValueAtRisk indicator with a specified period and confidence level
///
/// The name of this indicator
/// Historical lookback period in days
/// Confidence level for VaR calculation
public ValueAtRisk(string name, int period, double confidenceLevel)
: base(name, period)
{
if (period < 3)
{
throw new ArgumentException($"Period parameter for ValueAtRisk indicator must be greater than 2 but was {period}");
}
WarmUpPeriod = period;
_confidenceLevel = confidenceLevel;
_returns = new RollingWindow(period);
_rateOfChange = new RateOfChange(1);
}
///
/// Creates a new ValueAtRisk indicator with a specified period and confidence level
///
/// Historical lookback period in days
/// Confidence level for VaR calculation
public ValueAtRisk(int period, double confidenceLevel)
: this($"VaR({period}, {confidenceLevel})", period, confidenceLevel)
{
}
///
/// Computes the next value for this indicator from the given state.
///
/// The window of data held in this indicator
/// The input value to this indicator on this time step
/// A new value for this indicator
protected override decimal ComputeNextValue(IReadOnlyWindow window, IndicatorDataPoint input)
{
_rateOfChange.Update(input);
_returns.Add((double)_rateOfChange.Current.Value);
if (_returns.Count < 2)
{
return 0m;
}
var mean = _returns.Mean();
var standardDeviation = _returns.StandardDeviation();
return (decimal)Normal.InvCDF(mean, standardDeviation, 1 - _confidenceLevel);
}
///
/// Resets this indicator to its initial state
///
public override void Reset()
{
_rateOfChange.Reset();
_returns.Reset();
base.Reset();
}
}
}