/* * QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals. * Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation. * * Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License"); * you may not use this file except in compliance with the License. * You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 * * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and * limitations under the License. */ using MathNet.Numerics.Statistics; using MathNet.Numerics.Distributions; using System; namespace QuantConnect.Indicators { /// /// This indicator computes 1-day VaR for a specified confidence level and lookback period /// public class ValueAtRisk : WindowIndicator, IIndicatorWarmUpPeriodProvider { /// /// Confidence level for VaR calculation /// private readonly double _confidenceLevel; /// /// RateOfChange indicator to calculate the returns /// private readonly RateOfChange _rateOfChange; /// /// Rolling window to store the returns of the input data /// private readonly RollingWindow _returns; /// /// Required period, in data points, for the indicator to be ready and fully initialized. /// public override int WarmUpPeriod { get; } /// /// Gets a flag indicating when the indicator is ready and fully initialized /// public override bool IsReady => Samples >= WarmUpPeriod; /// /// Creates a new ValueAtRisk indicator with a specified period and confidence level /// /// The name of this indicator /// Historical lookback period in days /// Confidence level for VaR calculation public ValueAtRisk(string name, int period, double confidenceLevel) : base(name, period) { if (period < 3) { throw new ArgumentException($"Period parameter for ValueAtRisk indicator must be greater than 2 but was {period}"); } WarmUpPeriod = period; _confidenceLevel = confidenceLevel; _returns = new RollingWindow(period); _rateOfChange = new RateOfChange(1); } /// /// Creates a new ValueAtRisk indicator with a specified period and confidence level /// /// Historical lookback period in days /// Confidence level for VaR calculation public ValueAtRisk(int period, double confidenceLevel) : this($"VaR({period}, {confidenceLevel})", period, confidenceLevel) { } /// /// Computes the next value for this indicator from the given state. /// /// The window of data held in this indicator /// The input value to this indicator on this time step /// A new value for this indicator protected override decimal ComputeNextValue(IReadOnlyWindow window, IndicatorDataPoint input) { _rateOfChange.Update(input); _returns.Add((double)_rateOfChange.Current.Value); if (_returns.Count < 2) { return 0m; } var mean = _returns.Mean(); var standardDeviation = _returns.StandardDeviation(); return (decimal)Normal.InvCDF(mean, standardDeviation, 1 - _confidenceLevel); } /// /// Resets this indicator to its initial state /// public override void Reset() { _rateOfChange.Reset(); _returns.Reset(); base.Reset(); } } }