/*
* QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals.
* Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation.
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*/
using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using QuantConnect.Data;
using QuantConnect.Indicators;
using QuantConnect.Interfaces;
namespace QuantConnect.Algorithm.CSharp
{
///
/// Regression algorithm to test the behaviour of ARMA versus AR models at the same order of differencing.
/// In particular, an ARIMA(1,1,1) and ARIMA(1,1,0) are instantiated while orders are placed if their difference
/// is sufficiently large (which would be due to the inclusion of the MA(1) term).
///
public class AutoRegressiveIntegratedMovingAverageRegressionAlgorithm : QCAlgorithm, IRegressionAlgorithmDefinition
{
private AutoRegressiveIntegratedMovingAverage _arima;
private AutoRegressiveIntegratedMovingAverage _ar;
private decimal _last;
public override void Initialize()
{
SetStartDate(2013, 1, 07);
SetEndDate(2013, 12, 11);
Settings.AutomaticIndicatorWarmUp = true;
AddEquity("SPY", Resolution.Daily);
_arima = ARIMA("SPY", 1, 1, 1, 50);
_ar = ARIMA("SPY", 1, 1, 0, 50);
}
public override void OnData(Slice slice)
{
if (_arima.IsReady)
{
if (Math.Abs(_ar.Current.Value - _arima.Current.Value) > 1) // Difference due to MA(1) being included.
{
if (_arima.Current.Value > _last)
{
MarketOrder("SPY", 1);
}
else
{
MarketOrder("SPY", -1);
}
}
_last = _arima.Current.Value;
}
}
///
/// This is used by the regression test system to indicate if the open source Lean repository has the required data to run this algorithm.
///
public bool CanRunLocally { get; } = true;
///
/// This is used by the regression test system to indicate which languages this algorithm is written in.
///
public List Languages { get; } = new() { Language.CSharp, Language.Python };
///
/// Data Points count of all timeslices of algorithm
///
public long DataPoints => 1893;
///
/// Data Points count of the algorithm history
///
public int AlgorithmHistoryDataPoints => 100;
///
/// Final status of the algorithm
///
public AlgorithmStatus AlgorithmStatus => AlgorithmStatus.Completed;
///
/// This is used by the regression test system to indicate what the expected statistics are from running the algorithm
///
public Dictionary ExpectedStatistics => new Dictionary
{
{"Total Orders", "53"},
{"Average Win", "0.00%"},
{"Average Loss", "0.00%"},
{"Compounding Annual Return", "0.076%"},
{"Drawdown", "0.100%"},
{"Expectancy", "2.933"},
{"Start Equity", "100000"},
{"End Equity", "100070.90"},
{"Net Profit", "0.071%"},
{"Sharpe Ratio", "-9.164"},
{"Sortino Ratio", "-9.852"},
{"Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio", "36.417%"},
{"Loss Rate", "27%"},
{"Win Rate", "73%"},
{"Profit-Loss Ratio", "4.41"},
{"Alpha", "-0.008"},
{"Beta", "0.008"},
{"Annual Standard Deviation", "0.001"},
{"Annual Variance", "0"},
{"Information Ratio", "-1.961"},
{"Tracking Error", "0.092"},
{"Treynor Ratio", "-0.911"},
{"Total Fees", "$53.00"},
{"Estimated Strategy Capacity", "$16000000000.00"},
{"Lowest Capacity Asset", "SPY R735QTJ8XC9X"},
{"Portfolio Turnover", "0.02%"},
{"Drawdown Recovery", "50"},
{"OrderListHash", "685c37df6e4c49b75792c133be189094"}
};
}
}